1892: Evaluating Competence in Uncertain Environments (19874)

Session Chair(s)

• CB

  Craig Brimhall

  UCLA Anderson School of Management, United States
• JL

  Joel Levin

  Rady School of Management, U. of California San Diego, United States

Presenter(s)

• CD

  Charles Dorison

  -, United States
• WX

  WENZHUO XU

  -, United States

Participant(s)

• XD

  Xiawei Dong

  Hong Kong U. of Science and Technology, Hong Kong

Presenter(s)

• DM

  David Munguia Gomez

  Yale School of Management, United States
• SA

  Shilaan Alzahawi

  Stanford Graduate School of Business, United States

In this symposium, we bring together leading and emerging scholars to explore how decision makers assess competence in uncertainty environments. Specifically, the papers explore (1) how people develop beliefs about skill in environments that are either devoid of skill signals or in which signals of skill are noisy, (2) the decisions people make based on their attributions of skill, and (3) how managers are perceived when they communicate uncertainty in their decisions. Together, the papers in this symposium offer important empirical insights into the difficulty managers face in accurately assessing skill in uncertain environments. Practically, the collection of papers offers guidance to decision makers tasked with interpersonal decisions like whom to hire, fire, promote, and demote or which leaders to follow or to ignore.

Presentations:

• 09:45 – 11:15 CT (GMT-5/UTC-5)

  1892: Judging Others’ Models of Uncertainty (19874)
  

  Author: Joel Levin – Rady School of Management, U. of California San Diego

  Author: Gulden Ülkümen – U. of Southern California - Marshall School of Business

  Author: Craig R. Fox – U. of California, Los Angeles
• 09:45 – 11:15 CT (GMT-5/UTC-5)

  1892: Beyond Accuracy: The Interpersonal Costs of Independent Judgment Aggregation (19874)
  

  Author: Charles Adam Dorison – -

  Author: Bradley DeWees – United States Air Force

  Author: Julia Alexandra Minson – Harvard Kennedy School
• 09:45 – 11:15 CT (GMT-5/UTC-5)

  1892: Explaining the Paradox of Skill: Why More Competence means More Luck (19874)
  

  Author: Craig Brimhall – UCLA Anderson School of Management

  Author: David Tannenbaum – U. of Utah
• 09:45 – 11:15 CT (GMT-5/UTC-5)

  1892: Ambiguous Performance Feedback Leads to Overconfidence in Later Decisions (19874)
  

  Author: Xiawei Dong – Hong Kong U. of Science and Technology

  Author: WENZHUO XU – -

  Author: David Hagmann – -

  Author: Martha Jeong – Hong Kong U. of Science and Technology
• 09:45 – 11:15 CT (GMT-5/UTC-5)

  1892: Luck that Builds Merit (19874)
  

  Author: David M. Munguia Gomez – Yale School of Management
• 09:45 – 11:15 CT (GMT-5/UTC-5)

  1892: Does Expressing Uncertainty Help or Harm Leaders? (19874)
  

  Author: Shilaan Alzahawi – Stanford Graduate School of Business

  Author: Frank Flynn – Stanford U.